Last updated: 30 July 2026. Data source: DHA Study Visa Statistics, ingested into SVH's production dataset via get_country_trailing_rates.
Data scope: Offshore and onshore reported separately. Current window: March to May 2026. Prior window: December 2025 to February 2026. Both are rolling three month windows, the same comparison SVH's country cards use. Countries with fewer than 100 lodgements in the current window are excluded from the tables below; small-sample rates swing on a handful of decisions and are not a reliable movement signal.
Country-level grant rates move every window. Most of that movement is noise. The tables below isolate the markets where enough volume moved to make the shift meaningful, comparing the current three month window against the one before it.
Offshore: the biggest declines
| Country | Current rate | Prior rate | Change | Current lodgements |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zimbabwe | 43.2% | 89.4% | −46.3 pt | 139 |
| Nigeria | 52.1% | 83.5% | −31.4 pt | 144 |
| Philippines | 39.2% | 65.7% | −26.4 pt | 1,315 |
| Iran | 48.8% | 74.5% | −25.6 pt | 127 |
| Kenya | 30.6% | 56.2% | −25.6 pt | 1,808 |
| Bhutan | 50.5% | 75.4% | −24.9 pt | 1,504 |
| Sri Lanka | 53.3% | 69.6% | −16.3 pt | 1,186 |
| Cambodia | 78.4% | 94.2% | −15.8 pt | 218 |
| Fiji | 64.7% | 80.1% | −15.5 pt | 167 |
| Turkiye | 46.4% | 62.0% | −15.6 pt | 371 |
(Offshore only.) Source: DHA Study Visa Statistics, via SVH production dataset.
The rest of this article: Offshore grant rates fell for most higher-volume nationalities in the March to May 2026 window versus the prior three months. Zimbabwe, Nigeria and the Philippines saw the steepest offshore declines; only Vietnam, Germany, Mongolia and Argentina moved up on meaningful volume.
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